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Crude oil prices moved higher today after the US EIA reported an estimated inventory decline of 6.9 million barrels for the week to August 30.

Oil prices rise on large crude inventory draw

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Crude oil prices moved higher today after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported an estimated inventory decline of 6.9 million barrels for the week to August 30.

A day earlier, the American Petroleum Institute reported its own inventory estimate, which saw these drop by a sizable 7.4 million barrels in the final week of August. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a draw of around 1 million barrels.

The EIA’s previous report pegged the decline in oil inventories at a modest 800,000 barrels, with mixed changes in fuel inventories.

For the final week of August, gasoline and middle distillate inventories saw more mixed changes.

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Source: Oil Price

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Crude oil prices surged over the summer as OPEC curtailed production, followed by the outbreak in early October of the Israel-Hamas war

Oil’s rising price poised to boost energy sector

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Crude oil prices surged over the summer as OPEC curtailed production, followed by the outbreak in early October of the Israel-Hamas war, which sparked fears of greater military conflict throughout the region. While higher oil prices may prove challenging for overall equity performance, energy stocks appear poised to benefit if commodity prices resume their ascent.
Oil’s surge and drop: Oil prices had risen following the eruption of violence in the Middle East, but have since fallen. West Texas Intermediate closed at $80.44 on Nov. 1 vs. $82.79 on Oct. 6, but will increase by more than 10% next year, according to U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts. However, the EIA notes that its forecasts don’t take into account impacts from recent geopolitical events. Natural gas prices were recently $3.44 per million BTU compared to $3.34 on Oct. 6.

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Source: Pensions&Investments

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The US and its core allies see rising oil and gas prices as serious economic and political threats to them.

Why OPEC+ will do whatever it can to send oil prices higher

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The relentless drive of OPEC+ to keep driving oil prices higher, as predicted by OilPrice.com some time ago, was seen again in last week’s extension of major additional cuts made to the initial reductions in output first put into place last October. On 3 August, the de facto leader of the OPEC part of the group, Saudi Arabia, announced it will continue the additional 1 million barrel per day (bpd) cut in production that it announced in June through into September at least. Russia, looking to quietly sell its oil at a discount to the OPEC+ rate through backdoor channels, as also analysed by OilPrice.com, said it will taper its 500,000 bpd additional export cut for August to 300,000 bpd in September. These extended cuts come on top of the 3.66 million bpd in collective cuts from the OPEC+ oil cartel implemented since October 2022. The key questions now are: will OPEC+ keep oil prices rising through further production cuts and, if so, what can the West do about it?

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Source: Oil Price

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Production in the oil-and-gas-rich Permian Basin hits records recently, juicing oil company profits and easing energy supply worries.

US Permian Basin oil production — and profits — have surged

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Production in the oil-and-gas-rich Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico hit records recently, juicing oil company profits and easing energy supply worries.

It shows U.S. oil companies are responding to higher prices, with increased drilling and pumping after what seemed like months of foot-dragging.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine generated a global oil shock in 2022. U.S. crude climbed over $120 a barrel back in March, and average gasoline prices jumped to more than $5 per gallon in June.

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Source: AXIOS

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